Tasmania state election 2024 results show hung parliament as ...

Very strange victory speech. Rockliff spoke like he won in a landslide. Very low on detail. Just kept saying he loved Tasmania. Called an early election to rule with a majority but failed. What now?

- Mark

All those that get elected need to realise Tasmanian’s are sick of bully’s , lack of vision , infrastructure and the guts to supply a range of public transport that will encourage skilled professionals to relocate and build a better Tasmania . Look outside Hobart and Launceston. Country towns have so much to offer . Time will tell if it is just the same old .

- Janis Selmon

I think what has failed here tonight, once again, is the Hare-Clark electoral system and all Tasmanian's suffer because of it. It's time to bring Tasmania in to a contemporary voting system, aligned with the rest of Australia.

- Russell

Interesting Rockliff is so confident, given there are 11 seats still in doubt.

- Kim

Libs have lost voters, Labor and Greens have not gained substantially. Tasmanians are sick of the status quo.

- Kevin

I think Jeremy was too quick out of the blocks. He hasn’t won, it’s a minority, he has to negotiate with the minor parties. There’s still a lot of counting to go.

- Julian Edwards

Rosalie Woodruff says "as we suspected, before tonight, things aren't cut and dried right now".

"At the moment that they are sure looking good for the Greens.

"The Greens don't take money from big corporations and we've run a truly grassroots campaign across the island and I wanted to thank the hundreds of people that are involved. We've letter-boxed and put out posters and knocked on thousands of doors, much more than in any other election before.

"Whatever the final outcome of the next few weeks, the Greens will return to Parliament, further empowered to fight for Tasmanians who needed hospital bed and a secure home.

"We will continue to defend our democracy against self-interest and the corrupting influence of big corporates and ideology. And we will always be a voice for nature, unlike Labor and Liberal parties who deny the climate emergency, the Greens with the majority of Tasmanians who want to protect our carbon rich forests and extraordinary wildlife and end native forest logging for good.

"Our message this election was that change is needed and change is possible and we're fully committed to stepping into the next parliament with this in mind.

"Thank you."

Rosalie Woodruff says she supports Tasmania's fledgling AFL team the Devils, but says the Greens do not support the proposed Hobart stadium.

"I am a proud foundation member of the Tasmanian Devils like I'm sure so many other people in this room are. And I'm committed to defending our team and our colours and the Greens will hold firm in standing up to the whimsy is of the AFL.

"We know having a love of football doesn't have to equal support for a stadium.

"This generation of Tasmanians needs a parliament of leaders working to tackle the health, housing and unfolding climate crisis. They don't need a billion-dollar stadium, when we have a perfectly good one at York Park. That is where the heart of AFL and AFL football should remain permanently."

From ABC reporter Madeleine Rojahn:

Political scientist Kate Crowley believes if Tabatha Badger is elected in Lyons for the Greens, it'll offer a "huge opportunity for the Greens to reinvent themselves".

"The smaller House of Assembly has stifled Green representation as it was intended to and hampered its growth," Dr Crowley says

"This was helped by the long incumbency of Cassy O'Connor as leader. All that has changed now and the future is looking brighter for the Greens."

The last Lyons Greens MP was Tim Morris in 2010.

Antony Green has not called the seat yet but says Ms Badger's election is a real possibility.

Dr Crowley says Ms Badger represents "generational change".

"But also she could help take the party back to its deep environmental roots. Her background is deeply grounded in environmental issues," she says.

Some of what Greens leader Rosalie Woodruff has said so far:

"Hello, everyone. How fantastic to see you all here. I want to acknowledge that we are standing here tonight on the land of Tasmania 's first people who have shaped this landscape for the tens of thousands of years and the Greens recognise that this is stolen land that was never ceded.

"I want to acknowledge the work of the people on this campaign and start with Jeremy Rockliff and Rebecca White. As leaders they have both done a huge job of work and, you know, elections are difficult for everybody but also democracy is a wonderful thing. 

"On behalf of the Greens I salute everybody who has had the courage to stand. Party leaders but also the candidates and the independents, people who had no notice that this election was going to be called and that in itself was, you know, less than perfect from a democratic point of view. People have gone hard and given their best. What an election … and what an exciting opportunity to fight for real change and that is exactly how the Greens approached this election from day one."

More from Tasmanian Labor leader Rebecca White:

"I want to recognise that tonight will be a difficult one for [Jeremy Rockliff] having called an early election demanding stability and instead the Liberal Party have seen a massive drop in their primary vote.

"After 22 years in the parliament ... Jeremy has given an enormous amount to this state and I want to acknowledge that tonight and also thank him and his family for their contribution because they would have been a lot of sacrifices given over those years.

"However, this election has been decisive in its message that there needs to be change.

"I'm proud of the fact that Labor has laid out a plan to take urgent action on the cost of living to ensure that Tasmanians pay a Tasmanian price for Tasmanian power, to build more affordable childcare and provide free school lunches, have laid out a plan to build more houses for people who need them, to make life easier for renters and ensure the dream of home ownership is put back within the reach of Tasmanian who have lost hope."

It is very likely that Tasmania will continue to elect minority governments particularly with a 35-seat parliament. It is also clear people voted to change this election. We will wait to see how the dust settles and for the final results to be determined.

"Labor will be ready to work with the parliament to implement our agenda and our plan for a better future for Tasmania if that is the will of the people.

"Thank you."

Some of what Rebecca White has said:

"Ladies and gentlemen, there is a lot that is unclear about tonight. But it is clear that Tasmanians have voted to reject the Liberals.

"It is going to be a long night and likely along few weeks until we the exact make up of the next parliament. Thank you to the people of Tasmania who have chosen to give their support to Labor candidates for selection. I'm proud to see so many Labor candidates across the state have been supported by their communities to be elected to represent them and on their behalf I say thank you.

"I'm really proud of the campaign that Labor ran. I'm really proud of our candidates, I'm really proud of our volunteers and I'm really proud of the plan that we laid out for the Tasmanian community this election. A plan that is grounded in putting Tasmanians first.

"There are still votes to be counted but what is clear is the Liberal Party will not be getting a majority.

"Tasmanians have humbled a premier who called an early election, expecting to be returned in majority. Tasmanians have clearly voted for change and when the Liberals called this early election, the second in three years, they called it not because they wanted to address the cost of living, not because they wanted to start turning around our health system, not because they wanted to give young people hope that they might one day own their own home but because they couldn't even work with people from their own party.

"Which means that dealing with a crossbench the size the Tasmanian community looks to have returned in this election will be a very difficult task for them to manage with respect. Because respect requires an honest appreciation that the voters cannot be sent back to do it again and that each member of the crossbench represents a constituency that has to be listened to.

"Humble people don't speak of a 'coalition of chaos' whenever they don't get their own way. Or claim a victory when the results aren't clear. They pick up the phone and they talk to people.

"Strong but humble leaders accept the responsibility of making the parliament, the Tasmanian people have chosen work for all of our communities and for all of our regions. The final makeup of this parliament will not be known for some time but it is clear that Jeremy Rockliff will not be in a position to do so without the support of at least four members of the crossbench. Whether he can ultimately remain as Premier will be up to the members who are ultimately elected."

Labor leader Rebecca White says "a lot is unclear" from tonight, but Tasmanians have voted to reject the Liberal Party.

Ms White says humble people don't speak of a "coalition of chaos" when they don't get their own way, and that the Liberals will have trouble dealing respectfully with the crossbench.

"The final makeup of this parliament won't be clear for some time," she says, but what is clear is Jeremy Rockliff won't be able to form a government without the help of four crossbenchers.

Ms White says Tasmanians have "rejected the past and want change".

More from Liberal leader Jeremy Rockliff:

Mr Rockliff says Tasmanians have "not voted for a change of government" and he'll seek to form a new minority government.

"Make no mistake, this has been a very poor result for the Labor Party of Tasmania. What looks like their lowest primary vote ever," he said.

"Labor has not got enough seats to form a cabinet let alone a government. But as I have said at the beginning of this campaign, from day one, we will now work with the Parliament that Tasmanians voted for today.

"And I will seek to form a new government to give Tasmanians the certainty and the stability that they deserve and to deliver our 2030 strong plan for Tasmania 's future."

He said it was "incumbent" upon the new parliament to "work together, to put aside our differences, to ensure that we work day in and day out for Tasmanians right across this beautiful state".

"Thank you to my incredible campaign team who worked early mornings and late nights ... there are so many to mention.

"Let's be clear, the Liberal team has clearly gained the vote;  the most votes this election and the most seats by a large margin so well done and thank you.

"Secondly, Tasmanians have delivered a very clear message and I want to assure each and every Tasmanian that we've heard it and I thank you for it.

"I love this job. Thank you all. I appreciate your time tonight and thanks to each and every Tasmanian.

"Thank you very much."

Some of what Jeremy Rockliff has said:

It is a "day of milestones".

"Happy birthday to my beautiful mum Gerry. Well done! And today also looks like a fourth consecutive win for the Liberal Party!"

"I have represented Braddon for 22 years and been proud to do so. I wouldn't be here without the Braddon electorate and I look forward to representing them for at least another four years as well!

"And can I thank my family, my beautiful family. Sandy, Ruby, Lucy and Holly behind me here today. Thank you for your love and support, everyone.

"And to all my Parliamentary colleagues, both old and new in terms of current and new I should say. Current and new. Thank you for your support. Thanks to the Deputy Premier Michael Ferguson, a very loyal deputy."

He is claiming victory tonight for the  Liberal Party, suggesting a fourth term for the Liberal government (but he doesn't have a majority).

He's entering the tally room in Hobart for speeches.

We have our second new face officially predicted to enter state parliament.

Liberal candidate and media personality Rob Fairs is projected to win the second Liberal seat in Bass, behind deputy leader Michael Ferguson.

Mr Fairs said last month that he'd thought long and hard about running for politics and the Liberal Party.

He said he made the choice that best aligned with his values, even if it wasn't popular with his friends and family.

Former senator Eric Abetz was the first new MP elected. The other 11 candidates that have been pencilled in for seats already are returning MPs.

Former Labor leader and now independent candidate David O'Byrne is looking likely to be elected as an independent in Franklin.

He spoke to the ABC panel a short time ago.

He appears to have taken a swipe at the Labor Party's current leadership.

"I've now been elected as an independent and you're right, this is an election where Labor should be in a position to form government," he said.

"It's a Liberal government that has lost so much talent, that has controversy as far as the eye can see, they haven't been a good government yet the Labor Party can barely build a vote that gets them close to government, so I think someone in the Labor needs to take responsibility for this."

He says it's too early to say if he'll support the Liberals or Labor to form a minority government, but says he'll continue to have Labor values.

It is over for John Tucker, whose refusal to guarantee his vote for the Liberals helped push the Rockliff government into minority.

The ABC projects he has been defeated in his seat of Lyons.

Mr Tucker entered parliament in 2019 on a countback and was re-elected in 2021.

Mr Tucker threatened to bring down the government over a number of issues, including the AFL stadium deal and animal welfare concerns at a Tasmanian abattoir.

Greens candidate Vica Bayley, who has won a seat in Clark, says it "feels fantastic" to be voted in in his own right.

He was elected on a recount last year when former Greens leader Cassy O'Connor resigned.

With the Greens projected to win up to six seats, he credits the success to putting out a series of positive policies and staying "above the nasty attack ads".

He says the Greens will negotiate with both major parties in good faith, and "fight for the things that really matter to Tasmanians", no matter what the next government looks like.

Mr Bayley could be joined by Greens Clark candidate and Hobart Deputy Mayor Helen Burnet in the next parliament and says he's "extremely hopeful" she will get over the line.

This just in: Ms White is on her way to the tally room at the Grand Chancellor in Hobart. That's where all the speeches will happen.